Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.940314 14.590922 16.489070 18.861494 21.788344 25.337824 30.060039
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.812416 12.784586 15.230600 18.568829 23.145555 29.434257 39.204495
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.641978 11.760383 14.524153 18.536435 24.486315 33.517507 49.583731
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.894936 11.122160 14.150070 18.781054 26.140891 38.403056 63.443626
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.090679 10.288944 13.363538 18.242959 26.402691 41.012400 74.489099
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.573243 9.787871 12.971554 18.212285 27.443672 45.291988 91.984484
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.981916 9.120930 12.252948 17.538923 27.195337 46.941151 104.247737
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.408455 8.433140 11.435314 16.590680 26.254167 46.836730 111.537789
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.950718 7.884130 10.784880 15.848203 25.576286 47.142462 120.752299
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.105968 8.261613 11.616877 17.787399 30.646763 63.405531 217.775340
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.016350 8.252445 11.818254 18.611838 33.605332 76.047219 344.588364
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.661210 7.800968 11.241136 17.875078 32.813228 76.759329 390.965325
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.417134 7.527544 10.971916 17.765037 33.654080 84.058276 555.546520
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.170893 7.235860 10.648842 17.509955 34.096168 90.430552 792.830015
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.981992 7.025027 10.448850 17.479560 35.124092 100.109922 1333.239480
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.845899 6.892010 10.375033 17.703452 36.920727 115.163393 3172.134521
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.622863 6.600919 9.992629 17.210874 36.541129 119.292652 5542.324090
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.478591 6.434984 9.828296 17.182775 37.560751 132.508724 27611.903478
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.269563 6.148826 9.422267 16.565429 36.615174 133.191476 94497.203623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.041348 5.821256 8.922710 15.694337 34.721390 126.624563 104133.389007
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.849331 5.549395 8.516390 15.010818 33.347096 123.035577 241354.920493
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.965264 5.812514 9.137779 16.793353 40.664895 195.629619 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.950096 5.844940 9.316643 17.548616 44.827781 261.187710 NaN